Ask HN: Rigorous study on what jobs are declining due to AI now?
All the articles and studies I've seen are just hand wavy projections, and not looking at any real data.
They do things like analyze what % of tasks of a job can be done by AI and project that x% of those jobs will be gone.
Are there any actual good studies that show what jobs are declining right now due to AI? not what theoretically could be?
>Are there any actual good studies that show what jobs are declining right now due to AI? not what theoretically could be?
Unemployment:
Singapore 2%
Russia 2.1%
South Korea 2.5%
Japan 2.6%
Denmark 2.6%
Switzerland 2.8%
Mexico 2.9%
Israel 2.9%
Taiwan 3.35%
Netherlands 4%
United States 4.3%
The premise of the point is job losses but that's not happening. I reject the premise and so no study is needed. You might look at:
Spain 10.45%
Finland 9.1%
Sweden 8.3%
Greece 8.1%
France 7.5%
But none of these are because of AI, it's because of government policies which cause unemployment.
What about by age? Aren’t new college graduates struggling to find jobs?
Your data doesn’t show what you think it shows for a variety of reasons.
Let’s say I like fruit (particularly oranges) and usually buy $10 worth of them. I go to the store and they’re out of oranges but I still buy $10 worth of fruit (apples today). If you’re tracking how much I spend on fruit you’d think my buying habits didn’t change at all.
Additionally, aren’t countries notorious (particularly US) for fudging unemployment numbers?
>Let’s say I like fruit (particularly oranges) and usually buy $10 worth of them. I go to the store and they’re out of oranges but I still buy $10 worth of fruit (apples today). If you’re tracking how much I spend on fruit you’d think my buying habits didn’t change at all.
OP and me are talking about job losses/unemployment; a singular thing.
>Additionally, aren’t countries notorious (particularly US) for fudging unemployment numbers?
Feel free to justify your allegation that you're making.
I'm asking about specific jobs, not the job market as a whole...
> Feel free to justify your allegation that you're making.
There's plenty of reading on this available:
https://smartasset.com/career/problems-with-the-unemployment...
> OP and me are talking about job losses/unemployment; a singular thing.
Yes, but one can lose a job due to AI and get a new job resulting in job loss because of AI yet no overall job loss.
OP specifically asked for examples of jobs being lost to AI. Your data not only doesn't show that, you're misinterpreting it to pretend that doesn't happen.